Voters are still undecided – AfD is ahead among those who are determined


Shortly before the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate, according to a survey, a good fifth of voters do not yet know who their vote should go to.

Like the representative “Rhineland-Palatinate Report” by the Ifak Institute on behalf of the Koblenz “Rhein-Zeitung” and the private radio station “RPR1.” showed that 22 percent of those surveyed have not yet decided on a party. A new state parliament will be elected in Rhineland-Palatinate on March 22nd.

The undecided are therefore currently the largest group of voters, which is viewed in the survey as a separate bloc alongside the parties, unlike other surveys on the political mood.

AfD is ahead among those who decide to vote

The AfD has 19 percent of voters who have already made up their minds, the SPD has 16 percent, and the CDU has 13 percent. As soon as people from the group of undecided voters make their minds up, these numbers can shift significantly. They are followed by the Greens (7 percent), the Left (7 percent) and the Free Voters (3 percent). The BSW, like the FDP, which co-governs the traffic light, achieved 2 percent.

Survey results at a glance:

  • AfD: 19 percent
  • SPD: 16 percent
  • CDU: 13 percent
  • Greens: 7 percent
  • Left: 7 percent

According to further surveys, in which the undecided are viewed differently, there is a neck-and-neck race between the CDU and theirs Top candidate Gordon Schnieder and the SPD with Prime Minister Alexander Schweitzer. As the election research institute Infratest dimap determined for the SWR at the end of February, the CDU received 28 percent of the vote in the Sunday question. The SPD follows closely behind (27 percent), then the AfD (19 percent). The Greens would get 9 percent, the Left and the Free Voters would each get 5 percent. The FDP would probably miss out on entering the state parliament.

TV duel between Schweitzer and Schnieder

Yesterday evening were Schweitzer and Schnieder in a TV duel of the SWR met. Despite differences in content, there were no heated controversies between the two politicians, who may have to work together after election day. The topics covered, among other things, the high fuel prices and special vacations for state civil servants.

For the current survey, the Ifak Institute surveyed 1,047 German-speaking people aged 16 and over in Rhineland-Palatinate online between January 19th and February 22nd, including two percent who are not allowed to vote. Election surveys are generally always subject to uncertainty. Among other things, weakening party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. Surveys generally only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not predictions of the election outcome.

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